Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in July?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 4.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 4.4%. 24h move -30.3 pts. 7d move -30.3 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
4.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
60
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 93
Liquidity 170
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality26.7
Momentum100.0
Urgency52.5
7d Move-30.3 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 4.4%. 24h move -30.3 pts. 7d move -30.3 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme