Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 3.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -10.6 pts. Data quality 39/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 3.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 35
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 968 Liquidity 3.4K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.7
Momentum23.0
Urgency51.4
7d Move-10.7 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -10.6 pts. Data quality 39/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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