Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 10–15%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 11.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 11.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 11.5%
Signal Watch
Score 33
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 878 Liquidity 2.9K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.2
Momentum18.8
Urgency51.4
7d Move6.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 11.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

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