Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 48.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
48.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
42
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 98
Liquidity 656
Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality29.3
Momentum29.0
Urgency95.0
7d Move-5.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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