Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 44.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 44.5%. 24h move -6.0 pts. 7d move -6.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
44.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
33
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.6K
Liquidity 4.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality44.8
Momentum34.8
Urgency5.0
7d Move-6.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 44.5%. 24h move -6.0 pts. 7d move -6.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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