Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 11.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 11.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 39/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 11.5%
Signal Watch
Score 33
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 985 Liquidity 3.1K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.6
Momentum9.2
Urgency66.3
7d Move4.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 11.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 39/100.

Same theme
Exact Score: Any Other Score? 43.5% · Probability Surge · score 64 Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat? 27.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Exact Score: Any Other Score? 17.5% · Thin Market · score 57 Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? 26.5% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? 35.0% · Probability Fade · score 56 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 56