Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 79.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 79.0%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
79.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
32
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.3K
Liquidity 10.8K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.7
Momentum8.8
Urgency45.4
7d Move1.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 79.0%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme