Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 94.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.8%. 24h move +1.2 pts. 7d move +1.2 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 94.9%
Signal High Conviction
Score 27
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.4K Liquidity 3.4K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.1
Momentum8.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move1.2 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.8%. 24h move +1.2 pts. 7d move +1.2 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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