Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 94.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
94.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
25
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 927
Liquidity 8.6K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality40.8
Momentum0.0
Urgency41.2
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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