Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 81.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 81.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
81.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
22
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 895
Liquidity 2.2K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality37.5
Momentum3.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 81.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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