Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Geopolitics expectations are falling at 7.1% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 7.1%. 24h move -1.5 pts. 7d move -1.5 pts. Data quality 60/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.1%
Signal Watch
Score 36
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 961.2K Liquidity 27.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality59.6
Momentum15.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.5 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 7.1%. 24h move -1.5 pts. 7d move -1.5 pts. Data quality 60/100.

Same theme
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 1.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 34.0% · Watch · score 36 Xi Jinping out before 2027? 7.1% · Watch · score 34 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? 3.0% · Watch · score 34 Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 46.0% · Watch · score 33 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 0.4% · Watch · score 31