Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 1.2% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 1.2%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 68/100.
Probability
1.2%
Signal
Watch
Score
37
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.8M
Liquidity 109.2K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality68.1
Momentum1.2
Urgency41.4
7d Move-0.2 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 1.2%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 68/100.
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