Polymarket · Geopolitics

Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 33.5% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 33.5%. 24h move +12.0 pts. 7d move +12.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 33.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 70
Freshness 22s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 98.0K Liquidity 65.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality56.1
Momentum91.6
Urgency55.7
7d Move12.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is rising at 33.5%. 24h move +12.0 pts. 7d move +12.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? 0.1% · Probability Fade · score 44 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 38.5% · Watch · score 41 Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? 6.5% · Watch · score 39 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? 5.5% · Watch · score 38 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 3.5% · Watch · score 34 Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? 1.1% · Watch · score 34