Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Nurul Hoque Ali win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.5%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 944 Liquidity 7.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency54.5
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

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