Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 47.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 47.5%. 24h move -2.5 pts. 7d move -2.5 pts. Data quality 27/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 47.5%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 10 Liquidity 3.8K Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.5
Momentum38.5
Urgency25.0
7d Move-2.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 47.5%. 24h move -2.5 pts. 7d move -2.5 pts. Data quality 27/100.

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