Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 59.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 59.5%. 24h move +29.0 pts. 7d move +29.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Probability 59.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 70
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.6K Liquidity 1.5K Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.8
Momentum99.0
Urgency76.3
7d Move29.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 59.5%. 24h move +29.0 pts. 7d move +29.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

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