Polymarket · Geopolitics

Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are falling at 19.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 40/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 19.0%
Signal Watch
Score 23
Freshness 15s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 907 Liquidity 7.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.3
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 40/100.

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