Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 94.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
94.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.9K
Liquidity 28.4K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality48.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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