Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 17.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 17.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

Probability 17.5%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.2K Liquidity 27.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 17.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

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