Polymarket · Energy

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Energy expectations are rising at 40.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 40.5%. 24h move +19.5 pts. 7d move +19.5 pts. Data quality 61/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 40.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 65
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 983.6K Liquidity 61.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality61.4
Momentum100.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move19.5 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 40.5%. 24h move +19.5 pts. 7d move +19.5 pts. Data quality 61/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 68 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? 2.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 49.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? 76.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? 30.4% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? 9.5% · Watch · score 54