Polymarket · Energy

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Energy expectations are rising at 49.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 49.0%. 24h move +24.0 pts. 7d move +24.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 49.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 60
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.6K Liquidity 4.1K Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.3
Momentum84.0
Urgency46.1
7d Move24.0 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 49.0%. 24h move +24.0 pts. 7d move +24.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 10.0% · Probability Fade · score 74 Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 65 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? 0.1% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 45.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? 40.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? 20.5% · Probability Surge · score 55