Polymarket · Energy

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Energy expectations are rising at 40.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 40.0%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move +8.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 40.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 51
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.3K Liquidity 12.8K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.9
Momentum58.4
Urgency46.1
7d Move8.0 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 40.0%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move +8.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 68 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? 2.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 49.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? 40.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? 76.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? 30.4% · Probability Surge · score 59