Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 3.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 3.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 3.5%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 19s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 880 Liquidity 9.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 3.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

Same theme
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? 26.1% · Probability Fade · score 68 Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 3 Drogheda United FC? 1.7% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will anyone say "Dimensional" or "Interdimensional" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? 50.0% · Thin Market · score 59 Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? 86.5% · Probability Surge · score 57