Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 93.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 93.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.8K Liquidity 21.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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