Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 8.5% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 8.5%. 24h move -12.5 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 21/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 53
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90 Liquidity 16 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality21.3
Momentum92.5
Urgency45.2
7d Move-12.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 8.5%. 24h move -12.5 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 21/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? 27.0% · Probability Fade · score 63 Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 3 Drogheda United FC? 1.7% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will anyone say "Dimensional" or "Interdimensional" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? 50.0% · Thin Market · score 59 Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? 86.5% · Probability Surge · score 57