Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rallies?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 99.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 99.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
99.6%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
34
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 982
Liquidity 1.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality36.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency95.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 99.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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