Polymarket · Energy

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Energy expectations are steady at 22.0% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 22.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 22.0%
Signal Watch
Score 32
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 87.9K Liquidity 35.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality54.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency46.5
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 22.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 18.0% · Probability Fade · score 69 Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 5.5% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 64 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 54.0% · Probability Fade · score 62 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of June 8 2026? 20.5% · Probability Fade · score 57