Polymarket · Geopolitics

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are falling at 6.0% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 6.0%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 54/100.

Probability 6.0%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 99.1K Liquidity 20.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality53.7
Momentum0.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.2 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 6.0%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 54/100.

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