Polymarket · Energy

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5

Energy expectations are rising at 43.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 43.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 43.5%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 910 Liquidity 2.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.3
Momentum2.9
Urgency67.8
7d Move0.5 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 43.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 5.5% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? 8.1% · Probability Fade · score 65 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 54.5% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 42.5% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 18.0% · Probability Fade · score 59