Polymarket · Energy

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 64.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 64.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 64.0%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 982 Liquidity 5.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality39.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency45.8
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 64.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 5.5% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? 40.5% · Probability Fade · score 65 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? 6.8% · Probability Fade · score 65 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 18.0% · Probability Fade · score 59 Saman Ghoddoos: 2+ goals 12.5% · Probability Fade · score 57