Polymarket · Energy
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Energy expectations are falling at 82.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 82.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
82.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
27
Freshness
30s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.8K
Liquidity 5.4K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.0
Momentum8.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts
Energy expectation is steady at 82.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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