Polymarket · Energy

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Energy expectations are falling at 15.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 15.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 15.5%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97.6K Liquidity 31.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality54.6
Momentum5.9
Urgency5.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 15.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 39.5% · Thin Market · score 42 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? 4.7% · Watch · score 35