Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 98.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.4%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 36/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
98.4%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
18
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 964
Liquidity 1.1K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality36.3
Momentum3.5
Urgency5.0
7d Move-0.6 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.4%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 36/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme