Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 36.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 36.0%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 36.0%
Signal Watch
Score 30
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 900 Liquidity 863 Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.8
Momentum26.2
Urgency25.0
7d Move-4.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 36.0%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 20.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legis… 24.0% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 43.5% · Probability Fade · score 48