Polymarket · Energy

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Energy expectations are steady at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.5%
Signal Watch
Score 23
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 929 Liquidity 15.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.

Same theme
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 35.5% · Probability Surge · score 68 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 58.0% · Probability Surge · score 67 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? 5.7% · Probability Fade · score 65 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? 80.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? 42.0% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? 8.5% · Probability Fade · score 47