Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 75.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 75.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
75.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
27
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 987
Liquidity 7.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality40.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency48.1
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 75.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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