Polymarket · Geopolitics

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 17.2% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 17.2%. 24h move +2.4 pts. 7d move +2.4 pts. Data quality 61/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 17.3%
Signal Watch
Score 41
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 999.1K Liquidity 44.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality60.8
Momentum14.2
Urgency48.0
7d Move2.5 pts

Geopolitics expectation is rising at 17.2%. 24h move +2.4 pts. 7d move +2.4 pts. Data quality 61/100.

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