Polymarket · Geopolitics

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are falling at 6.5% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 6.5%. 24h move -3.0 pts. 7d move -3.0 pts. Data quality 63/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 6.5%
Signal Watch
Score 43
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 955.6K Liquidity 118.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality62.8
Momentum17.4
Urgency49.2
7d Move-3.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is falling at 6.5%. 24h move -3.0 pts. 7d move -3.0 pts. Data quality 63/100.

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