Polymarket · Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 6.8% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 6.8%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 61/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 6.8%
Signal Watch
Score 35
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 876.0K Liquidity 62.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality61.2
Momentum10.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.4 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 6.8%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 61/100.

Same theme
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