Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 44.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 44.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 44/100.
Probability
44.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
26
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.8K
Liquidity 3.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality43.7
Momentum5.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 44.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 44/100.
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