Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Jo Hart win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 1.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 1.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

Probability 1.9%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 992 Liquidity 1.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency58.8
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 1.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

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