Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 4.4% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 4.4%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 57/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.4%
Signal Watch
Score 39
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96.9K Liquidity 105.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality57.2
Momentum3.2
Urgency66.4
7d Move-0.6 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 4.4%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 57/100.

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