Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 64.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 64.5%. 24h move +3.5 pts. 7d move +3.5 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 64.5%
Signal Watch
Score 38
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 176 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.2
Momentum45.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 64.5%. 24h move +3.5 pts. 7d move +3.5 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June? 12.1% · Probability Surge · score 50 Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? 1.5% · Probability Fade · score 44 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 0.1% · Watch · score 37 Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference? 40.5% · Watch · score 27 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? 4.5% · Watch · score 27 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 76.5% · High Conviction · score 26