Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 20.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 20.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 25/100.
Probability
20.7%
Signal
Watch
Score
16
Freshness
53s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 90
Liquidity 131
Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality25.3
Momentum0.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.1 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 20.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 25/100.
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