Polymarket · Economy

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

Economy expectations are falling at 21.0% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is steady at 21.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 36/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 21.0%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 898 Liquidity 1.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.1
Momentum5.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.0 pts

Economy expectation is steady at 21.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 36/100.

Same theme
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%? 9.0% · Probability Fade · score 36 Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? 14.0% · Watch · score 35 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? 40.5% · Watch · score 32 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? 17.5% · Watch · score 20