Polymarket · Economy

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

Economy expectations are rising at 18.0% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is rising at 18.0%. 24h move +13.0 pts. 7d move +13.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 18.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 57
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 88 Liquidity 1.8K Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.1
Momentum93.4
Urgency43.5
7d Move13.0 pts

Economy expectation is rising at 18.0%. 24h move +13.0 pts. 7d move +13.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%? 14.5% · Watch · score 35 Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? 30.0% · Probability Fade · score 34 Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? 5.4% · Watch · score 29 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? 33.5% · Probability Surge · score 28 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? 17.5% · Watch · score 21