Polymarket · Economy

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Economy expectations are falling at 30.0% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is falling at 30.0%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 30.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 34
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96 Liquidity 1.8K Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.6
Momentum32.0
Urgency43.5
7d Move-5.0 pts

Economy expectation is falling at 30.0%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? 18.0% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%? 14.5% · Watch · score 35 Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? 5.4% · Watch · score 29 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? 33.5% · Probability Surge · score 28 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? 17.5% · Watch · score 21