Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" this week?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 28.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 28.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 25/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 28.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 50
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 100 Liquidity 106 Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality25.1
Momentum63.8
Urgency77.8
7d Move-11.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 28.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 25/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May? 33.2% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? 32.0% · Probability Surge · score 47 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 0.4% · Watch · score 41 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 41.0% · Probability Fade · score 39 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? 1.1% · Watch · score 34 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May? 2.7% · Watch · score 33