Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 77.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 77.5%. 24h move -18.5 pts. 7d move -18.5 pts. Data quality 34/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 77.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 57
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 971 Liquidity 582 Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.3
Momentum78.0
Urgency66.2
7d Move-18.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 77.5%. 24h move -18.5 pts. 7d move -18.5 pts. Data quality 34/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? 1.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? 66.0% · Probability Surge · score 41 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 0.1% · Watch · score 37 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? 4.3% · Probability Fade · score 35 Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference? 39.5% · Watch · score 31 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in June? 6.9% · Watch · score 28