Polymarket · Energy

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Energy expectations are falling at 58.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 58.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 58/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 58.5%
Signal Watch
Score 30
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 87.2K Liquidity 169.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality57.9
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 58.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 58/100.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 10.0% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? 2.1% · Watch · score 48 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? 7.5% · Watch · score 37 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? 12.3% · Watch · score 36 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? 29.5% · Watch · score 36 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 35